{
  "schema_version": "LEDGER-SCHEMA-1.0",
  "session_date": "2026-07-09",
  "sealed_at": "2026-07-10T13:29:16-04:00",
  "regime": "risk_on",
  "rows": [
    {
      "ticker": "ALNY",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "clinical_data",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "Amvuttra ATTR-CM franchise share/peak sales",
      "catalyst_score": 95,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 1.15,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 59.9,
      "tier": "Quality",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none",
      "kvd_note": "Competitor eplontersen (AZ/Ionis) CARDIO-TTRansform Ph3 missed primary endpoint (no effect on stabilizer background); Amvuttra left as sole outcomes-proven TTR silencer in ATTR-CM."
    },
    {
      "ticker": "SMPL",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "earnings_beat",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "organic net-sales trajectory + gross margin",
      "catalyst_score": 80,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.85,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 34.9,
      "tier": "Marginal",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "VRAX",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "contract_win",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "commercial supply agreements / first revenue",
      "catalyst_score": 65,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.85,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 34.9,
      "tier": "Marginal",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "BBIO",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "clinical_data",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "Attruby ATTR-CM script ramp / stabilizer SOC position",
      "catalyst_score": 80,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 1.05,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 33.3,
      "tier": "Marginal",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "AZZ",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "guidance_raise",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-08",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 1,
      "kvd": "FY27 forward revenue/EBITDA guide + Metal Coatings volume",
      "catalyst_score": 87.5,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 1.15,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 17.9,
      "tier": "Marginal",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "AP",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "contract_win",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-08",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 1,
      "kvd": "committed-demand / order backlog",
      "catalyst_score": 80,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.95,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 14.6,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "RKTO",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "other",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "narrative / AI association - no measurable KVD",
      "catalyst_score": 65,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.85,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 14.6,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "RPGL",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "other",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "listing-status overhang (not a business KVD)",
      "catalyst_score": 65,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.85,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 12.3,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "FCEL",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "partnership",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "committed demand / platform economics",
      "catalyst_score": 65,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.85,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 10.3,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "ENVX",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "other",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "manufacturing yield / scale-up execution",
      "catalyst_score": 65,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.85,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 8.6,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "AMAT",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "analyst_initiation",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "WFE capex cycle / leading-edge intensity",
      "catalyst_score": 65,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.9,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 8.4,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "GLSI",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "regulatory",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "FLAMINGO-01 Phase III readout (unchanged)",
      "catalyst_score": 65,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.85,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 8.3,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "SUNE",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "other",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "ownership/flow disclosure (not a business KVD)",
      "catalyst_score": 65,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.85,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 5.5,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "MU",
      "side": "LONG",
      "catalyst_type": "other",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "AI/HBM memory pricing & forward bookings",
      "catalyst_score": 65,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": 0.9,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 3.6,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "IONS",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "regulatory_rejection",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "eplontersen ATTR-CM expansion opportunity",
      "catalyst_score": 87.5,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 59.9,
      "tier": "Quality",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none",
      "kvd_note": "7/9 pre-mkt: CARDIO-TTRansform Ph3 of eplontersen (Wainua) in ATTR-CM MISSED the primary composite endpoint (CV mortality + recurrent CV events to Wk140). Pre-specified monotherapy subgroup nominally significant HR 0.71; safety favorable; full data at ESC Aug-2026."
    },
    {
      "ticker": "AZN",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "regulatory_rejection",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "Wainua ATTR-CM franchise option value",
      "catalyst_score": 87.5,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 47,
      "tier": "Quality",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none",
      "kvd_note": "7/9 pre-mkt: partner Ionis + AZ announce CARDIO-TTRansform Ph3 (Wainua/eplontersen, ATTR-CM) missed primary endpoint. ATTR-CM was AZs largest cardiometabolic expansion option; ALNY +15% pre-mkt on the read-across."
    },
    {
      "ticker": "BYRN",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "earnings_miss",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "e-commerce conversion + dealer/chain reorder revenue",
      "catalyst_score": 85,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 22.5,
      "tier": "Marginal",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "RXT",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "guidance_cut",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "FY26 revenue/EBITDA guide + capital structure",
      "catalyst_score": 100,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 16.3,
      "tier": "Marginal",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "MDA",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "offering_dilution",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "share count / capital structure (structural KVD)",
      "catalyst_score": 80,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 13.5,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "PEP",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "kpi_deterioration",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "PFNA (Frito-Lay NA) organic revenue & volumes",
      "catalyst_score": 85,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 12.9,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "IBM",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "analyst_downgrade",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "software+consulting AI-disintermediation risk (no measured delta)",
      "catalyst_score": 77.5,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 10.5,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "META",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "margin_compression",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "capex intensity & FCF trajectory",
      "catalyst_score": 82.5,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 10.1,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "LEVI",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "earnings_miss",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "Levis brand organic growth + gross margin - INTACT/ACCELERATING",
      "catalyst_score": 77.5,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 8.8,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "TRNR",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "offering_dilution",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "share count / going concern (structural KVD, NO dated anchor)",
      "catalyst_score": 77.5,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 5.7,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    },
    {
      "ticker": "PLTR",
      "side": "SHORT",
      "catalyst_type": "analyst_downgrade",
      "catalyst_timestamp": "2026-07-09",
      "catalyst_age_sessions": 0,
      "kvd": "US commercial growth / NDR - INTACT",
      "catalyst_score": 72.5,
      "tradeability": null,
      "trr_modifier": null,
      "structural_anchor": null,
      "ces": 5.3,
      "tier": "Pass",
      "invalidation": null,
      "position_disclosure": "none"
    }
  ]
}
